Friday, May 21, 2004

The Tipping Point

In any political or military campaigns there can come a point where the hearts and minds of the public are up for grabs.

At that point people's views can go decisively one way or the other. In 1980 in the Reagan - Carter presidential campaign it occurred when Reagan asked the public if they were better off than four years ago.

The public said "No" and Carter was toast. In 2000 with the release of George W. Bush's DWI, the public swung toward Gore and gave him the election. (Upset about how the public rejected their candidates, the right wing conspired to overturn the election results and were able to do so.

In 2004 the tipping point may have occurred with the stories of abuse in Iraq. Ever since his forced installation as president by a questionable 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court George Bush approval rating has been on a downward trend, with only 9/11, the Iraqi war and Saddam's capture preventing a total meltdown.

From a high of 56% in April 2001 to his current 48% in May 2004 the public has turned against him and with the election a little over five months away things don't look good.

Short of capture of Osoma Bin Laden or another attack on America, Bush is toast, and even Republicans have figured that out.

Sean Hannity on his radio show said Bush was a man of principles and may end up paying for having principles (Help the rich, go to war, screw the environment).

So basically the GOP is already making excuses on why Bush lost. It's not that he was wrong, but he was willing to stand up for his principles. HAH!

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